Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Very Brief Blog: The Startup Health Festival in SF, Adjacent to JP Morgan

This morning I was having breakfast at 7 am adjacent to my SF office and I noticed banners for a "Startup Health Festival" - one of the conferences adjacent to JP Morgan this week.   The conference website says it was invitation-only and is sold out - from the venue, it looks like a pretty large event.

I've captured the 2019 conference website here, and in case it goes dark at some point, I put a PDF of the conference agenda and speakers in the cloud here


  • There's also a Startup + Health Magazine, here.


Top name speakers including Jill Biden, Sanjay Gupta, Bernard Tyson (CEO of Kaiser), and Esther Dyson.  There are high level government speakers as well like Mona Siddiqui, Chief Data Officer of HHS, and Lord Prior, Chair of NHS England.

There are many, many startups represented; additional large company speakers included Bertrand Bodson, Chief Digital Officer of Novartis, and Heather Bell, SVP of Global Digital at Sanofi.  Bell has an unusual resume, including a PhD in modern history from Oxford and ten years at McKinsey; she then managed international outreach strategies for Oxford.





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Monday, January 7, 2019

Very Brief Blog: FDA Releases Self-Certification "Working Model" For Digital Health

On January 7, 2019, FDA released a position statement from Commissioner Dr Scott Gottlieb, as well as a raft of links to new webpages and documents on software self certification.

This effort has been one of the highlight efforts of the FDA under Dr. Gottlieb.   It's worth tracking because FDA often mentions this as a concept it wants to apply in the diagnostics/genomics space as well.  (And if fact, some path-breaking approvals for 23andMe a couple years ago (update here) were themselves close to self-certification with open data, as opposed to either the known 510(k) or PMA pathways).

See Gottlieb announcement here; it contains numerous internal links to resources.  Coverage at MedCity here; their further analysis here. RAP News here.

I've also cut/pasted below the break.

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Separately, for articles on UK NHS investments in digital health and clinical roll-outs, here and here.

Sunday, January 6, 2019

Could CMS Open NCD on Genesight? Coding Implications.

In a major advance, last week Myriad Genetics announced the publication of its GUIDED clinical trial of the impact of psychiatric pharmacogenetics on healthcare outcomes in depression (Greden et al., here).  In particular, the beneficial impact was largest in patients switched from a "red" to a better drug after testing - and you only know which patients those are, by testing a larger group.  See discussion in Genomeweb here.

However, the publication passed through at least two journals.  Last November, Myriad announced that a "first journal" where the trial was reviewed had "notified the company that as a condition of publication, the proprietary GeneSight algorithm would need to be disclosed."

Myriad resubmitted to a different journal, the well-respected Journal of Psychiatric Research.  Myriad noted in November that on publication of GUIDED, it would submit a request to Medicare to expand access to primary care physicians (currently only psychiatrists).   See Myriad transcript here.

CMS Could Open an NCD on GeneSight

CMS could open an NCD on Genesight, which is one of the largest branded molecular tests CMS covers and may be about the largest single branded or proprietary test covered that does not have a PLA code, which has implications for PAMA rate-setting.  CMS created an NCD in 2017 for tumor gene panel testing, at a time when those tests were only about 1% of CMS molecular spending, based on codes 81445+81455 (spending on those codes $6M; molecular spending about $600M).   As a proportion of CMS molecular spending, GeneSight would be several times that (e.g. several percent).  In addition, other psychiatric gene panel tests with good data are also entering the market, and CMS may want to promote uniformity of coverage (see  Bradley et al, an open access paper on a large psychiatric pharmacokinetic RCT, with favorable outcomes, supported by Althea).  Another published lab in this space is Genomind.  For comparison, CMS undertook the recent NGS cancer NCD when there were similarly  three tests for it to review (FMI F1 CDx, Thermo Fisher Oncomine, Illumina Praxis Extended Ras). 

Mixed Private Coverage.  The pivotal publication, Greden et al., is now available, and that is definitely the sort landmark that CMS waits for.  For now, CMS covers GeneSight through its LCD (of which I've been a strong supporter).  However, private payer non-coverage is easy to find (e.g. example at Anthem here) which CMS is likely aware of both at the local and national level.

FDA.  Additionally, quite recently the FDA criticized claims of non-FDA-reviewed pharmacogenetic tests citing particularly those for antidepressants [see detail at foonote*], Genomeweb here.  Do the FDA and CMS talk?  Yes.  Recall that the first version of the CMS NGS NCD in November 2017 acted to block LDT testing in the tumor domain from CMS payment, and cover only FDA-based testing, and some conspiracy theorists argued this was FDA getting its way regarding LDTs via CMS.

APA.  Another issue is that an APA task force in 2018 seemed to warn that psychiatric pharmacogenetics had "insufficient data to support widespread use of pharmacogenomic tests in clinical practice to guide antidepressant treatment," here; see also here.   Both CMS and MACs look to guidelines in coverage decisions (e.g. here).  There are also cases on record where MACs have used company-funded or -authored studies as a part of a non-coverage decision (e.g. here).

CMS Interest in TRD.  CMS has previously tracked the treatment resistant depression area and written NCDs on it (here, here, here).

Collectively, these factors such as quite mixed private coverage, FDA positioning, and APA (among others), together with the very high dollar volume under an unlisted code that loops around PAMA, make GeneSight's status with CMS more complicated than the average test under the average LCD.

Algorithms are Intellectual Property, But Are Drug Categories Printed on Reports?

Myriad, quoted above, stated that it changed journals to ensure its algorithm remains private.  APA, which would surely weigh in on a CMS NCD, stated in 2018 that "there is a lack of transparency with regard to the algorithms used by the companies to derive treatment recommendations from tests looking at multiple genetic variations," here.  While the workings of an algorithm are private, outcomes are face-valid on the test report (e.g. drugs in bins for green, yellow, red).   Given the patient's CYP genotype, the same genotype could be input into other software and one could compare how the outputs match or vary.  (There are hundreds of thousands of GeneSight tests out there, so collecting 500 for consented in silico research might be feasible).  For example, an open-access algorithm or a different branded algorithm might produce bin outputs quite close to GeneSight, or quite different.  The point is that this is an empirical question that can be easily tested, just as you can empirically test whether or not one lab's BRCA sequence interpretations match another (on the same mutation).  An organization could tell CMS, we don't know how GeneSight gets from genotype 12345 to classifying drugs A,B,C as green, yellow, and red, but our software will also input genotype 12345 and usually classify the same drugs the same way.

NCD Would Lead To Specific Coding

An NCD would most likely lead to specific code issuance by CMS, as occurred with the Cologuard approval (e.g. a CMS G-code).  While such a code would be subject to PAMA, note that the issue of PAMA is pretty distant - any codes coming out in 2H 2019 will not be PAMA-priced til January 2024. 

However, the new G code would go into the CMS CLFS pricing cycle (the CMS "crosswalk/gapfill" process.)   This could simply confirm the current CMS MAC price of Genesight  (around $2000, based on public CMS data).  However, the CMS crosswalk process would overrule the local price and lock down the CMS administrator's price for several years.  In contrast, the MAC price with code 81479 could change arbitrarily either up or down as it is not registered on the national annual fee schedule.**   But the CMS national pricing process can be frugal compared to MAC pricing; AMP recently asserted CMS had mispriced BRCA components under some new AMA CPT codes by factor of three, here.

CMS has publicly flagged concerns about 81479 coding (see here).  In January 3, 2019 investor report, Barclay's asserted the average commercial payer price of GeneSight was in the several hundred dollar range (see also quotes here), but that is not the same as the PAMA median price, which ignores the $0 dollar claims.  On the other hand, if the answer is there are lots and lots and lots of $0 commercial clinical claims for a test CMS pays $2000 for, that data too could also make CMS a little edgy.

Anyone Could Request NCD

Anyone could request a CMS NCD; famously, United Healthcare requested one on CAR-T therapies last year (here and here).   Alternatively, CMS could initiate one without an outside request.



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*  The FDA's pharmacogenetic warning had a mixup of messages between concerns about non-FDA-reviewed claims, which were pretty strong concerns, and what I see as entirely separable issues about patients changing their own meds without intervention of a physician, which would be very unlikely for GeneSight. That said, the FDA did state directly that:

"The FDA is aware of genetic tests that claim results can be used to help physicians identify which antidepressant medication would have increased effectiveness or side effects compared to other antidepressant medications. However, the relationship between DNA variations and the effectiveness of antidepressant medication has never been established. The FDA is aware that health care providers may have made inappropriate changes to a patient's medication based on the results from genetic tests that claim to provide information on the personalized dosage or treatment regimens for some antidepressants."


____

** In CY2017, CMS spent $32M on 14,858 uses of 81479 in Ohio, at $2,158 per use, which is likely a pretty close match to Assurex GeneSight testing.  The national use of 81479 in 2017 was 74,657 uses at $115M.




Friday, January 4, 2019

Very Brief Blog: AMP Asks CMS Reconsider BRCA Pricing in 2019

Genomeweb reports today that AMP has asked CMS to reconsider the pricing of new BRCA codes established through the 2018 summer comment and fall decision periods.
  • Genomeweb article here.
  • AMP letter online here.
CMS has an ongoing and unchanged code for 81162, BRCA 1/2 full sequencing with dup del analysis.   AMA CPT 2019 institutes a new code system (largely developed by AMP or CAP) with new code 81163 for BRCA 1/2 sequencing alone, and 81164 for BRCA 1/2 dup del analysis alone.  Another is 81164 for BRCA 1 sequencing alone.

Principally, regarding CMS pricing of 81162, AMP argues that CMS acted inappropriately when it priced for sequencing BRCA 1 and separately for BRCA 2.  This yielded prices of several hundred dollars per gene.  However, AMP argues that labs run both genes together therefore a different, very large procedure crosswalk is more appropriate. This points to code 81408, $2000.

But this will yield other inconsistencies; for example, in next year in 2021 the composite code 81162 will pay only $1825, less than one of its components, if AMP's proposal is adopted.

In addition, the crosswalk code CMS used for BRCA2 sequencing was continuing code BRCA2 (81216, $185), which CMS used as a reference price for sequencing BRCA2, which seems clear enough.  AMP avoids this rabbit hole by simply stating that 81408, $2000, is the most direct single crosswalk.


Current CMS prices are shown:

Two code numbers at far left = services in the two columns.
The appeal issue will be an agenda item at the CMS summer new code pricing meeting, which typically occurs either circa June 30 or else after the July 4 holiday such as July 8-20.

AMP also lodges a second appeal.   AMP argues for higher pricing of 81165, BRCA 1 sequencing alone, based on the concern that an exon count crosswalk to 81406 is too low because some exons are really big.   PAMA commercial payer data, as well as CMS data, indicates that individual codes like "BRCA 1 sequencing alone" are virtually never used. 


Very Brief Blog: Two Big Digital Genomics, Digital Pathology Investments

Two news items on digital laboratory medicine -

$68M for Digital Pathology in UK

The December 24, 2018 Dark Report (subscription, but you can read 1 free article per month) reports that the UK is making a $68M investment in digital pathology, which will take the shape of five major regional centers (London and four other cities).   Here.

I haven't found a similar open access source (hey, you should subscribe to Dark Report), but a March 2018 article on teh rapid growth and high goals for digital pathology in UK is here.

UK also announced a ten year plan to boost digital health and sequencing; at New Scientist, here.

$77M For Digital Genomics: Sophia

In a second story, Swiss- and Boston-based Sophia Genetics raised a remarkable $77M for its digital genomics and bioinformatics services.  This brings its total funding to $140M.  See the press release here.  Sophia writes,
"The company combines deep expertise in life sciences and medical disciplines with mathematical capabilities in data computing. Today, its universal platform, SOPHiA AI, is utilized by more than 850 hospitals across 77 countries and has already supported the diagnosis of over 300,000 patients. The platform enables healthcare professionals to make sense of complex genomic and radiomic data through advanced analysis in order to better diagnose and treat patients, both for oncology and hereditary disorders."





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Footnotes and Updates

Also around January 1, 2019...

  Qiagen buys N-Of-One clinical bioinformatics service, here.

  Illumina and PierianDx ink multi year, non exclusive collaboration deal, here.

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Last August, TEMPUS, which provides a genomics lab but strongly emphasizes its bioinformatics potential, raised $110M

For an open access 2018 article on software for somatic tumor variants, Tamborero in Genomic Medicine, here.

Brief Blog: CMS Extends Lab Date of Service Rule, Again, to July 2019

On December 26, 2018, CMS released an announcement that it was again delaying required implementation of new Date of Service rules that had been slated for January 1, 2018.   The new implementation date is July 1, 2019.

The announcement is released as a zip file on the CMS Date of Service web page.  The ZIP file includes a 1 page announcement of the delay, and a 2 page Q&A document.

See the CMS DOS web page here.  You should be able to access the zip file directly here.

What Happened

The DOS rule, dating back almost ten years, requires hospital outpatient specimens to be billed by the hospital if that's where the tissue was biopsied or the blood was drawn on a registered outpatient.   In Fall 2017, CMS created a mandatory exception effective January 1, 2018, that the performing laboratory must bill for such a specimen if it was a molecular pathology test or an ADLT (most ADLTs will also be molecular pathology tests.) 

CMS's deferral of the mandatory exception means that for now, either the hospital or the lab can bill for the qualifying molecular pathology test.  CMS notes in the FAQ that "in no case should both the hospital and the performing laboratory bill for the same test," just in case that wasn't clear from context or the meaning of "either."


Thursday, January 3, 2019

Pittsburgh Authors Publish Review of National CMS SEP-1 Data

I have previously published two articles on CMS SEP-1 performance data, one in August when 3-quarter 2017 data was first released (here) and one in November when full year 2017 data was released (here).  The second article focuses on the poor performance of top US academic medical centers on SEP-1.

SEP-1 has been criticized elsewhere; see references in the above blogs and for two simple entry points here and here.  For more detail see Faust & Weingart here.

Barbash, David, and Kahn of University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine have published a late December 2018 article which is a peer-reviewed assessment of the CMS raw data.  (For an earlier report see Venkatesh, here.)

I quote the full abstract below.  In my November blog, Pittsburgh was in the top 20 academic hospitals for which I pulled SEP-1 data; Pittsburgh scored 42, below the national average but about the median of the top 20 academic centers.  The authors believe their data shows that the overall value of SEP-1 is "supported by providing additional construct validity," and quote other work suggesting that early identification saves lives.  If this is the case, it should be more upsetting that many hospitals score so poorly and in the open public record.  However, the authors conclude that overall associations between SEP-1 scores and other quality scores was weak, consistent with other weak or negative data for SEP-1 (here, here, here).




Crit Care Med. 2018 Dec 21.   [Epub ahead of print]
National Performance on the Medicare SEP-1 Sepsis Quality Measure.
Barbash IJ1,2, Davis B2,3, Kahn JM1,2,3.
   https://insights.ovid.com/pubmed?pmid=30585827       https://journals.lww.com/ccmjournal/Abstract/onlinefirst/National_Performance_on_the_Medicare_SEP_1_Sepsis.96060.aspx

OBJECTIVES:
The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services requires hospitals to report compliance with a sepsis treatment bundle as part of its Inpatient Quality Reporting Program. We used recently released data from this program to characterize national performance on the sepsis measure, known as SEP-1.

DESIGN:
Cross-sectional study of United States hospitals participating in the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Hospital Inpatient Quality Reporting Program linked to Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services' Healthcare Cost Reporting Information System.

SETTING:
General, short-stay, acute-care hospitals in the United States.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS:
We examined the hospital factors associated with reporting SEP-1 data, the hospital factors associated with performance on the SEP-1 measure, and the relationship between SEP-1 performance and performance on other quality measures related to time-sensitive medical conditions. A total of 3,283 hospitals were eligible for the analysis, of which 2,851 (86.8%) reported SEP-1 performance data. SEP-1 reporting was more common in larger, nonprofit hospitals. The most common reason for nonreporting was an inadequate case volume.

Among hospitals reporting SEP-1 performance data, overall bundle compliance was generally low, but it varied widely across hospitals (mean and SD: 48.9% ± 19.4%). Compared with hospitals with worse SEP-1 performance, hospitals with better SEP-1 performance tended to be smaller, for-profit, nonteaching, and with intermediate-sized ICUs. Better hospital performance on SEP-1 was associated with higher rates of timely head CT interpretation for stroke patients (rho = 0.16; p < 0.001), more frequent aspirin administration for patients with chest pain or heart attacks (rho = 0.24; p < 0.001) and shorter median time to electrocardiogram for patients with chest pain (rho = -0.12; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS:
The majority of eligible hospitals reported SEP-1 data, and overall bundle compliance was highly variable. SEP-1 performance was associated with structural hospital characteristics and performance on other measures of hospital quality, providing preliminary support for SEP-1 performance as a marker of timely hospital sepsis care.

PMID: 30585827



Update:
For a 2019 report on SEP-1 with similar conclusion, see Truong et al., Mt. Sinai, here:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30784983


Wednesday, January 2, 2019

Has Medicare Canceled Much of Germline BRCA Testing, Including for Ashkenazi Populations? New 2019 MolDx LCD

Today I was scanning 2019 LCDs for updates and found an unusual one in the MolDx program.

Search the Medicare Coverage Database for the BRCA panel code 81432.  You'll get quite a set of LCDs:

Click on the L36082 LCD for BRCA/BRCA2 genetic testing, which are frequently performed by NGS sequencing or panel testing.   Find the Palmetto LCD L36082 at this link.  The new text is clipped for you here:

Multigene Panels***

^ The indications and limitations of coverage listed in National Coverage Determination (NCD) 90.2 (Next Generation Sequencing- NGS) apply to genetic testing for susceptibility to breast or ovarian cancer. While the NGS NCD Section 90.2 B describes specific coverage criteria for nationally covered tests, Section 90.2 D permits coverage of other NGS as a diagnostic laboratory test for patients with cancer when performed and ordered according to the requirements described by the NCD. According to Section D of the NGS NCD AB Medicare Administrative Contractors (AB MACs) may cover next generation sequencing tests in patients with cancer. As such, genetic testing for susceptibility to breast or ovarian cancer with multi­-gene NGS panels (not otherwise covered under NCD 90.2 Section B) may be covered by this AB MAC as reasonable and necessary when ALL of the NCD criteria are met in addition to the following... (next section unchanged)

This referral to "coverage requirements described in the NCD...ALL of the NCD criteria are met..." acts to allow NGS based testing only in women with Stage III/IV cancer, excluding women with Stage I/II cancer.   See the CMS NGS NCD here.  A November 30 transmittal includes the text, "A diagnostic laboratory test using NGS is non-covered when cancer patients do not have the above-noted indications for cancer."  This makes it sound like even, for example, NGS based infectious disease testing is blocked - "a test using NGS."

According to Cancer.net, 60% of breast cancer cases are localized, e.g. stage 1/2, suggesting the rule if applied this way will impact a lot of testing.

The NCD, somewhat bizarrely, would act to block NGS method-based testing but allow sequencing and reporting of the same genes, in the same Stage 1/2 women, under the LCD, with Sanger or PCR testing. 

BRCA and Ashkenazi Populations

BRCA mutations are far more common in Ashkenazi-heritage populations.  Brandt-Rauf and colleagues write, "Lack of awareness about the possibility of hereditary breast cancer in the Jewish population which . . . has enormous risk compared with other populations—maybe ten-fold higher of having a mutation—makes it rather disadvantageous to not talk about it...The truth demographically is that over 90% of Jews in North America are of Ashkenazi origin."

Similarly, in 2017 CDC reports that "Women who had Ashkenazi panel testing accounted for approximately 5% of women who had any BRCA testing during the study period and ≤0.1% of all women aged 18–64 years."  This was age 18-64 related to employer preventive benefits under ACA; rates >65 are similar.

The USPSTF also reported about a 10X increase in prevalence of BRCA carriers in the Ashekenazi population, 2013, here

Implications

As of January 2, 2019, the same CMS database did not list this change in the MolDx LCD for Noridian Jurisdiction E or F.   (Those LCDs haven't been updated for routine new 2019 BRCA codes either, though).  See here.

There are several reasons why it hasn't made sense, to me, to apply the March 2018 NCD to germline testing like this.   (And no MAC has come up with this explicit application to germline testing until this week, showing it is not an obvious reading of the full NCD.)

  1. The NCD was based on an application by Foundation Medicine for FDA-approved CDx tumor testing.  All the literature and discussion is on tumor testing.  Targeted drugs are nearly always used only in metastatic disease, where the Stage III/IV rule makes sense.  That rule makes no sense applied to germline testing, and germline testing wasn't discussed in the NCD.  Germline testing couldn't even get into the main NCD coverage rule, since it isn't a CDx.   It seems more like a semantic unintended effect, given the whole body of evidence.
  2. In response to concerns from several stakeholders that the NCD (in draft form) might be misapplied to germline testing, CMS intentionally inserted explicit new text directly into the body of the NCD that it can be applied only to a certain type of NGS testing, for targeted therapies.  This would seem to exclude application of the rules to germline testing and narrow them only to targeted therapy testing.  (I wrote about this on April 18, 2018).  
    1. CMS also states in the NCD, "BRCA is discussed in familial risk assessment (Daly et al. 2017) which is outside the scope of this decision."
    2. Daly 2017 means NCCN guidelines for hereditary testing, which have a special section for patients with personal history of cancer, the section LCDs provide coverage for in all 50 states.   CMS proactively negotiated this position for MACs around 2005 - that BRCA testing was covered (with conditions) for Medicare patients with a personal history of cancer.  It makes no sense to revoke this selectively and solely for NGS method testing.
    3. CMS also left all germline guidelines (e.g. Daly NCCN) out of its Guideline section, but included somatic testing guidelines.
  3. NCDs are based on the Medicare statute for reasonable & necessary medical care.  It makes no sense the exact same mutation would be legally medically necessary (under the same CPT code and cost) if found by one method rather than another.  Here, CMS would be saying that it is legal and medically necessary to pay $2000 for 81162 BRCA testing by Sanger method, but illegal and medically unnecessary to pay exactly the same $2000 for same code 81162 BRCA testing by NGS in the same patient.   There can't possibly be any rationale there, given the identical results and identical cost to CMS.

Archive

In addition to the links above, in the cloud I've put a PDF copy of the Palmetto January 2019 LCD, and a copy of a Word-based redline of recent changes.  Here and here, respectively.



Additional Considerations

Shift to Sanger Testing for Ridiculous Reasons?

Nothing in the new LCD prevents gene testing by non-NGS methods in Stage 1-2 patients.  To the extent NGS testing for germline risk mutations is allowed only in Stage 3-4 patients, this is probably counterproductive since most benefit for BRCA-adherent longitudinal management is going to be in the longest-surviving patients, not those terminally ill or entering hospice care with Stage 4 cancer.

In addition, while most BRCA testing would be equal dollars under the NCD (e.g. 81162 for BRCA sequencing and dup deletion costs no more or less to CMS with either method) - some costly loopholes are opened up.  For example, every MAC except the NGS MAC (ironic name) covers 81432, a ten-gene panel for breast cancer.  MACs aren't covering "the code," they are signally they are covering all ten genes, including BRCA1/2.  This means if a lab performs 9 genes, they are separately billable.  Here, you hit an NCCI new rule that you aren't supposed to stack Category I genes with NGS methods, but use 81479 instead.   However, that NCCI rule doesn't apply to Sanger or PCR, so it seems you CAN stack the nine HBOC genes, and starting with $2000-plus for BRCA.

MolDx LCD Instruction Is Ambiguous

The new LCD instruction tells people doing HBOC testing they must refer to the NGS NCD if they are using NGS methods.

But they don't tell you how to interpret the NCD when you get there.  Do you follow the sentence that says only recurrent/metastatic cancers can be covered, or, do you follow the sentence in the NCD that says the NCD only applies to one subset of NGS testing, the kind for targeted chemotherapy? 

What If Your Stage I Breast Cancer Is Gone?

The NCD says that for patients with cancer, NGS testing can be covered by LCDs only if the patient has advanced cancer.  However, a patient who has stage 1 breast cancer and a lumpectomy no longer has any cancer - no signs and symptoms of cancer.  She had cancer before the lumpectomy that removed the stage I cancer.  So does the NGS NCD apply to her - no longer an obvious cancer patient - or does the LCD concept apply (a person with "a personal history of cancer," which she does have?)

Are Medicare Advantage Plans at Compliance Risk?

Medicare Advantage plans can cover services non-covered by CMS, like vision, dental, or in this case, stage 1/2 HBOC testing with NGS.  However, Medicare Advantage plans must meet compliance rules and regulations when they cover non-covered services, like separate notification to the patient in advertising materials and separate budgeting reporting to CMS.  Have Medicare Advantage plans been legally out of compliance since March 18, 2018, for reporting Stage 1/2 HBOC testing within their covered costs under Medicare?

Interpreting the NCD Ambiguity to Avoid, Not Create, Absurdity

There is a tsrong concept in law that regulations should be interpreted, if possible, in a way they make sense.  One sentence of the NCD says that NGS testing can only be covered in cancer patients if they have advanced cancer.  Another sentence says that the NCD as a whole applies only to a subclass of NGS tests for targeted therapies.   The only way to coherently interpret these is to assume the second sentence modifies the meaning of the first.   That's logical.  The other way around doesn't work.
  • See Justice Scalia's book on canons of interpretation, here.
  • See an 1892 Supreme Court case with paragraphs of discussion of the doctrine that interpretations of a law must avoid absurdity here.  
  • See a 2002 article by Cass Sunstein here.  
  • The second SCOTUS ACA case, King v Burwell 2015, also hinged in part on avoiding an absurd interpretation of the meaning of "state"; here.
  • On interpreting laws into practice in ways that are not invalid or nonsensical, see also Ginsburg 1979 here and Levy v Louisiana here.
Which Is Controlling?  The Header Coverage Section of the NCD or the Sentence Restricting Its Scope to Targeted Therapy Testing?

I've been told that CMS argues that the "header section" of the NCD is the operative section, and nothing in the body can modify the header section.  (The header section says only advanced cancer patients can be tested by NGS, but the body says the scope of the NCD is only targeted therapy testing.) 

Let's assume that only the header section is the "operative" section.  Where is that written down?   Is that in the statute?  Is that in any regulation?  Is that even in the CMS manuals - anywhere?   Maybe it's just a subregulatory concept at CMS.  But if a subregulatory concept can modify the interpretation of an NCD, then why can't a written statement in the body of the NCD modify the NCD?  Even the Supreme Court frequently uses the framing of a law as a whole in order to interpret it.

CMS Subregulatory Language Often Modifies Regulatory Language

Even if you argue the header of the NCD has the status of "regulatory language" and the body of the NCD the status of "subregulatory language," the latter frequently modifies for the former. 

For one solid example, in the 14-day-rule, the regulatory language (42 CFR 414.500ff) states parts of the rule apply to molecular pathology tests.  You can't tell from the term "molecular pathology tests" if this applies to molecular microbiology or not.  You have to look to the context and explanations in subregulatory rulemaking to find it only applies to human molecular tests - you can't tell from the regulation, and in fact, the regulation might more easily imply the opposite.  (Wikipedia: Molecular pathology is commonly used in diagnosis of cancer and infectious diseases."

Similarly, the regulation about a recent required exception to the 14 day rule (for genomic tests) took effect January 1, 2018, and that regulatory text hasn't changed.  However, subregulatory (PDF) announcements from CMS have extended implementation, most recently updated on December 26, 2018, until July 1, 2019.   CMS regulations would fall apart and be unusable, resulting in chaos, if subregulatory definitions and clarifications did not exist and couldn't modify regulatory language.

Press Release Makes No Sense

In its press release on the NCD, CMS said that "advanced diagnostic laboratory tests now have expanded Medicare coverage."  This would not be true; FMI test already had coverage as did the Oncomine FDA test.   There was no expansion.  Under the currently floated interpretation, there would be only a retraction, of coverage under LCDs in 50 states for certain specific germline testing.  In 2017, CMS paid only $7M in 81445/81450/81455 testing, hardly meriting an NCD in a $300B program, but CMS paid $75M for germline testing (various 2017 BRCA codes), of which about 2/3 would be in stage 1/2 patients, and almost all by NGS, so retracting $50M of coverage.

CMS Position Violates Statute in a Catch-22

Here's what statute says about NCCN process (at 1862(a))

In making a national coverage determination (as defined in paragraph (1)(B) of section 1869(f)) the Secretary shall ensure consistent with subsection (l) that the public is afforded notice and opportunity to comment prior to implementation by the Secretary of the determination; meetings of advisory committees with respect to the determination are made on the record; in making the determination, the Secretary has considered applicable information (including clinical experience and medical, technical, and scientific evidence) with respect to the subject matter of the determination; and in the determination, provide a clear statement of the basis for the determination (including responses to comments received from the public), the assumptions underlying that basis, and make available to the public the data (other than proprietary data) considered in making the determination.

1) If CMS intended to exclude germline and infectious disease testing, and carefully reviewed all the appropriate  guidelines and data, it violates statute here, because it didn't list for the public the materials reviewed on those topics or its reasoning on those topics.  In fact it did the opposite - saying things like NCCN guidelines Daly 2017 were not reviewed and out of scope.

2) If CMS intended to exclude germline and infectious disease testing, but didn't carefully review any materials or guidelines, then it violates statute by issuing a decision with no justification.   Bang.

A FOIA request or an NCD Appeal (SSA 1869(f)(1), with discovery of documents) could distinguish between #1 and #2, but neither is allowed by the statute quoted.

3) If CMS didn't really think ahead to implications of some of its language choices, and other sections of NCD indicate other intentions, then CMS doesn't have to block germline testing, under the avoidance of absurdity rules cited earlier in this blog.

Another option related to these ideas is that CMS intended to block infectious disease and germline testing, but viewed any and all prior textbook knowledge (such as the (i) discovery of clinically useful bacterial resistance genes or (ii) the discovery of BRCA founder mutations like 185delAG) by PCR or Sanger methods as irrelevant to assessing any value of clinical reporting of that clinical mutation by NGS, and thus, such PCR or Sanger literature is out of scope, accounting for the absent bibliography.  (But this, too, is a trip to Alice in Wonderland).

CMS Could Not Possibly Have Been Thinking About Non-CDx Tests In Writing Proposed NCD in November 2017

Internal evidence (IN THE HEADER SECTION) makes clear that CMS could not possibly have been thinking of all types of NGS testing when writing the proposed NCD, the NCD that the public had an opportunity to comment on.

Recall that the original NCD proposal covered FDA CDx tests on label, and covered NGS testing off label only in two conditions.  One, was NGS testing in advanced cancer with an FDA approved CDx but used off label.  This required an elaborate registry.  Second, was NGS testing not FDA approved (e.g. LDT) which was covered only in an NCI trial.

Come forward to the NCD Transmittal, which includes a statement that all NGS testing not in advanced cancer is not covered.   If the original NCD really was meant to apply to all uses of NGS testing methods, why did it require RECIST testing, instructions on comparing results to "initial clinical validation of the companion diagnostic"?   Obviously, these requirements make sense ONLY if the author was only thinking of CDx uses of NGS in cancer, and not other uses like germline or infectious disease testing, in which case, these rules are just nonsense and cannot be applied.  You cannot compare the results of NGS infectious testing "to the original companion diagnostic," yet this would have been required.  On the other hand, if CMS came up with the idea to apply the NCD to all types of testing for whatever purpose if NGS is involved, only in the final draft, there was no public opportunity to comment on that idea.


Oliver Elemento's Op Ed About NCD in WSJ (March 2018)

Dr. Elemento raised numerous concerns about unintended effects of the NCD in WSJ, March 2018, here.
___

Typo in the NCD.  

There is an apparent typo in the Q&A section of the NCD.

Comment: A few commenters suggested that a clarification or discussion of testing and reporting of germline and somatic changes be explicit as a requirement for the report of test results in the final NCD.

Response: The final decision allows laboratories and diagnostic laboratory test developers to determine what is included in the test report. Further, the final decision is unchanged from the proposed decision in that it does not exclude coverage for testing of somatic mutations, provided the other coverage criteria are met. We note germline testing in the absence of signs or symptoms is designated a screening test and not a diagnostic laboratory test, which remains outside the scope of this NCD.

The sentence that "germline testing in the absence of signs and symptoms" is a screening test; that is nothing new and not relevant to the germline NCDs.  Above that, CMS answers that the NCD "does not exclude coveage for testing of somatic mutations."  Of course it does not; it never did, it couldn't, and no one ever asked if the NCD on the FMI test excluded reporting of any somatic mutations.   That phrase only makes any sense if CMS meant "does not exclude coverage for testing of ^germline mutations" meaning here in addition to somatic mutations.

Thursday, December 27, 2018

Medicare Toughens Rule on Panel Coding; Effective January 1, 2019

This post correct an erroneous, deleted post from yesterday December 26.

November:  Weirdly Complex Rules for Genetic Test Coding for January
In summary, around November 21, CMS released complex and confusing new rules for genetic test coding, shifting usage from direct CPT codes to 81479, the molecular test unlisted codes.  I discussed this at length in a post on November 21 here.  Basically, it nationalized a longstanding MolDx instruction to use 81479 in lieu of using two or more single gene CPT codes.

December:  CMS Tweaks Panel Coding Instructions for January
On December 12, CMS issued a further update to panel coding rules (CMS does not specify between chemistry and genetic panels in this rule).   CMS upgraded language from "should" to "shall" - if all components of a CPT panel are provided, the lab SHALL bill that CPT panel code.  The stimulus was a harsh GAO report that CMS was doing to little to enforce correct coding of panel codes (here).  Congress also asked CMS to pay more attention to correct coding/pricing of panels (here).

The updates are on the CMS Correct Coding Initiative website here.

Below, I list the new December 12 update.   After that, I again list the unusual and complex gene coding rules from November.  All of these are slated to be effective nationally on January 1, 2018.

December 12 Update

Correct Coding PDF Manuals
Chapter 10, Laboratory. Section C.

      The CPT Manual assigns CPT codes to organ or disease oriented
panels consisting of groups of specified tests.  If all tests of
a CPT defined panel are performed, the provider shall bill the
panel code.  The panel codes shall be used when the tests are
ordered as that panel.

     For example, if the individually ordered
tests are cholesterol (CPT code 82465), triglycerides (CPT code
84478), and HDL cholesterol (CPT code 83718), the service shall
be reported as a lipid panel (CPT code 80061)

Essentially the same instruction is found in Chapter 1, Section N, in part:

      The CPT Manual defines organ and disease specific panels of
laboratory tests.  If a laboratory performs all tests included in
one of these panels, the laboratory shall report the CPT code for
the panel.

Cumbersome November Genetic Update
Chapter 10, Laboratory, Section F Molecular Pathology

7. A Tier 1 or Tier 2 molecular pathology procedure CPT 
code shall not be reported with a genomic sequencing procedure, 
molecular multianalyte assay, multianalyte assay with algorithmic 
analysis, or proprietary laboratory analysis CPT code where the 
CPT code descriptor includes testing for the analyte described by 
the Tier 1 or Tier 2 molecular pathology code.  [OK, this one
seems pretty obvious to me, nothing new.]

8. If one laboratory procedure evaluates multiple genes 
utilizing a next generation sequencing procedure, the laboratory 
shall report only one unit of service of one genomic sequencing 
procedure, molecular multianalyte assay, multianalyte assay with 
algorithmic analysis, or proprietary laboratory analysis CPT 
code.  If no CPT code accurately describes the procedure 
performed, the laboratory shall report CPT code 81479 (unlisted 
molecular pathology procedure) with one unit of service.  The 
laboratory shall not report multiple individual CPT codes 
describing the component test results.  If a single procedure is 
performed, only one HCPCS/CPT code with one unit of service may 
be reported for the procedure.  [This proposal deviates massively from
normal coding, but resembles an existing "MolDx" rule applicable in 30
states called "Test Panel Alert" with the same intention but at
the MAC local level.]

9. Procedure-to-procedure edits bundling two Tier 1 
molecular pathology procedure CPT codes describe procedures that 
should not routinely be performed and reported together.  For 
example CPT code 81292 describes full sequence gene analysis of 
MLH1, and CPT code 81294 describes duplication/deletion variant 
gene analysis of MLH1.  In evaluating a patient with colon 
carcinoma (vs. constitutional genetic disorder), it may be 
appropriate to perform duplication/deletion testing if the 
disease variant(s) is (are) not identified by performing full 
gene sequencing.  The same principle applies to other code pair 
combinations of testing for the same gene (e.g., 81295/81297, 
81298/81300).   [Since in these scenarios typically say 2% of patients 
are positive for sequence and 2% positive for Dup Del, 98% of
patients would get Dup Del testing, resulting in mass use of the
-59 modifier.  And the allusion to tumor vs constitutional disorder is
confusing - does this rule apply to both patients? If so, why mention?
Tumors are more likely to have multiple mutations - sequence in Gene A, 
Dup Del in Gene B. Also the main tumor codes incorporate SEQ and
Dup Del testing together if performed, no separate coding, such as
81455 and the PLA code for FMI F1 CDx.]

I discussed the above genetic rules as cumbersome in a November post.  It seems like they would require sudden changes for non-MolDx labs and a lot of new work for non-MolDx contractors.  Also, I've heard that Medicaid must follow NCCI rules, which would be a new big burden.   The rules also would cause confusion due to their deviation from conventional correct coding in settings like "Medicare as Secondary Payer" or other settings where Medicare has to interact with the rest of the coding world.


Note that while other chapters of the NCCI manual for CY2019 have October 31 file dates (103118), the Chapter 1 and Chapter 10 versions in November had November 6 file dates, and they now have December 12 file dates.




Wednesday, December 26, 2018

(Weblink for post in error)

On Dec 26-27, this link held an erroneous post that CMS had deleted some unusual coding rules for genetic testing, rules that were released on Nov 22.  

While CMS made other policy updates on Dec 12, CMS did NOT change the genetic coding rules.

See original post about the new 2019 genetic coding rules here.

I list the new November rules (for 2019) for genetic tests below.  Thereafter, I also list a potentially important update to the Panel rules (if components of a panel are performed, lab SHALL bill that panel code.)   This latter update was December 12 (for 2019).  The December update on panel billing likely reflects the GAO report that CMS was overpaying for components of panel testing in some circumstances.

##
NOVEMBER UPDATE FOR CY2019

7. A Tier 1 or Tier 2 molecular pathology procedure CPT 
code  shall not be reported with a genomic sequencing procedure, 
molecular multianalyte assay, multianalyte assay with 
algorithmic analysis, or proprietary laboratory analysis CPT 
code where the CPT code descriptor includes testing for the 
analyte described by the Tier 1 or Tier 2 molecular pathology 
code. 

8. If one laboratory procedure evaluates multiple genes 
utilizing a next generation sequencing procedure, the laboratory 
shall report only one unit of service of one genomic sequencing 
procedure, molecular multianalyte assay, multianalyte assay with 
algorithmic analysis, or proprietary laboratory analysis CPT 
code.  If no CPT code accurately describes the procedure 
performed, the laboratory shall report CPT code 81479 (unlisted 
molecular pathology procedure) with one unit of service.  The 
laboratory shall not report multiple individual CPT codes 
describing the component test results.  If a single procedure is 
performed, only one HCPCS/CPT code with one unit of service may 
be reported for the procedure. 

9. Procedure-to-procedure edits bundling two Tier 1 
molecular pathology procedure CPT codes describe procedures that 
should not routinely be performed and reported together.  For 
example CPT code 81292 describes full sequence gene analysis of 
MLH1, and CPT code 81294 describes duplication/deletion variant 
gene analysis of MLH1.  In evaluating a patient with colon 
carcinoma (vs. constitutional genetic disorder), it may be 
appropriate to perform duplication/deletion testing if the 
disease variant(s) is (are) not identified by performing full 
gene sequencing.  The same principle applies to other code pair 
combinations of testing for the same gene (e.g., 81295/81297, 
81298/81300). 

ADDITIONAL DECEMBER UPDATE FOR CY2019
Word "should" changed to "shall"

The CPT Manual assigns CPT codes to organ or disease oriented
panels consisting of groups of specified tests.  If all tests of
a CPT defined panel are performed, the provider shall bill the
panel code.  The panel codes shall be used when the tests are
ordered as that panel. For example, if the individually ordered
tests are cholesterol (CPT code 82465), triglycerides (CPT code
84478), and HDL cholesterol (CPT code 83718), the service shall
be reported as a lipid panel (CPT code 80061)


Sunday, December 23, 2018

Very Very Brief Blog: Medicare Approves a Second ADLT Lab Test (Biodesix "Veristrat" test)

Takeaway:  CMS has endorsed the Biodesix Veristrat test, 81358, as an ADLT, so it will get annual pricing.  The only prior ADLT was FMI F1 CDx, 0037U.
___________________________

Medicare's PAMA 2014 law, section 216, created a new pricing system, involving a triennial market-based repricing of the lab fee schedule.

In addition, PAMA defined a new test category, ADLT or Advanced Diagnostic Laboratory Tests.  These tests must be sole-source tests, and must be one of two types, (a) a MAAA type test or (b) a sole source FDA cleared or approved tests. 

CMS controversially added several additional rules for ADLT tests, such as the Type (a) tests must be dissimilar to any existing test.  (This wouldn't make sense for Type (b) tests, since they can be 510(k) tests).  In addition, Type (a) tests must be originated by the laboratory and, at least based on rulemaking tests, not licensed in from academia to a commercialization lab.

The only test until last week that was an ADLT was the Foundation Medicine F1 CDx test, code 0037U.   This test has been priced at its market price of $3500 for three quarters, July 2018-March 2019, after which point, it will be repriced annually at its FMI private payer market price.

Just in time for Christmas, CMS has created a second ADLT test on December 21, 2018. 

  • See ADLT web page here.
  • See PDF of "approved ADLTs," here.
The Biodesix test is approved as an ADLT test, but not as a new ADLT test (existing code 81358).  Therefore, it doesn't get any first-year special list price pricing.  Since it isn't new. 

However, Veristrat will be repriced annually as an ADLT, rather than every 3 years, as a regular lab test.  Its 2019 price is $2871.


Tuesday, December 18, 2018

Very Brief Blog: Nerd's Update on AMA PLA Codes at CMS

PLA-ology As We Enter 2019

Section 216 of the Protecting Access to Medicare Act of 2013 revamped the Clinical Lab Fee Schedule, setting it triennially to market prices.  PAMA 2016 also required CMS to create rapid codes for new lab tests, which CMS could do through G-codes.  However, CMS generally hasn't had to troupe out new G codes to fulfill its responsibility, because new proprietary codes - PLA codes - are released released quarterly by the AMA.  See AMA PLA webpage here.  The next PLA deadline is Thursday, January 10, 2019.

The new 2019 CMS Clinical Lab Fee Schedule has 56 PLA codes on it. 

(By today, AMA has also created 22 even newer codes that haven't made it on the CLFS yet.)

Codes present on the CLFS were issued as recently as June 2018, and the codes that were under the recent summer crosswalk/gapfill process were issued between October 2017 and June 2018.

Of the 56 PLA codes on the CLFS, 18 are under the "gapfill" process for CY2019.   (This means they will be pricing by local MAC contractors in 1H2019). 

They gives us a library of 38 PLA codes that *have* been priced by CMS, some as recently as this fall.

All the PLA codes that active for 1H2019 will be part of the next PAMA pricing cycle.   This next cycle is expected to collect market prices in 1H2020 based on insurance payments to labs in 1H2019.

PLA-ology or PLAtistics

The priced codes range from $15, for 0039U, a high avidity DNA antibody measurement (BioRad), to 0036U, $4870, exome tumor and somatic analysis, from the Weill-Cornell genomics laboratory.    0036U was crosswalked into the PAMA price for exome sequencing (81415).   (Note that there is institution across the street in NYC, Memorial Sloan Kettering, which has an FDA-cleared tumor gene panel test, MSK IMPACT, 0048U, which is being gapfilled).

Near the top of the price chart is the Foundation Medicine F1 CDx test, 0037U, 324-gene tumor panel, which as a FDA-approved ADLT receives an annual market-based price for itself.  It is currently $3500.
  • 7 PLA codes price under $100.  
  • 8 price above $2000.   
  • That leaves 23 priced between $101 and $950.
Below, I give a chart of PLA codes that are priced by CMS, followed by a "click to enlarge" graphic of code names and prices.



click to enlarge
Anyone who's read this far seriously needs to get some new hobbies.  The data has a median of $247 and a mean of $918, with a (parametric) standard deviation of 1343.  Of course, the data is highly skewed and not a normal distribution (Excel skew value = 1.7) which means a parametric statistic like Std Dev is not meaningful. 



Monday, December 17, 2018

Very Brief Blog: FDA Hires Roche's Amy Abernethy For Deputy Commissioner

FDA has hired former Duke academic and medical industry executive Amy Abernethy MD as Deputy Commissioner.

Abernethy, once known for her work on the evidence supporting off-label compendia for oncology (here), is currently Chief Medical Officer for Flatiron Health, which was absorbed into Roche earlier in 2018.

Abernethy sits on boards of the Personalized Medicine Coalition, Athenahealth, and CareDx.

Read more:

  • Bloomberg here.
  • Cancer Letter here (open access).
  • Fierce Healthcare here.
  • Forbes here.
Some quotations from Forbes follow.

“She’s a highly regarded thought leader who has held numerous positions of leadership in her fields of interest and distinguished herself for her intellect, her passion for patient care and science, and her collegiality,” Scott Gottlieb, the FDA Commissioner, wrote in a memo to FDA staff announcing Abernethy’s appointment. 
Robert Califf, the previous FDA commissioner and a mentor of Abernethy’s, echoed Gottlieb’s praise. “In my wildest dreams, I wouldn’t have imagined Scott could come up with somebody this highly qualified,” Califf said. “So I think it’s really good for the country. I’m really excited about it.” 
Abernethy says that the role was too meaningful to pass up. “I had always thought I would go into government service, and I have always believed that one of the ways you make change is through policy and regulation,” she says. She hopes to work on speeding up the collection of data that can be used in clinical trials—“Historically, patient-defined concerns were always secondary, and the question is: How do you make the needs of the patient the obvious thing that we’re working on?” she says.
[Adding her interests in] making sure patients get the right treatment at the right time, including by using more genetic tests, an idea known as precision medicine. “The more we have precision medicine the more it means we stop doing things that don’t work,” she says.

Very Brief Blog: CMS Releases CY2019 Full Lab Fee Schedule

On Friday, December 14, CMS releasd the full CLFS fee schedule for CY2019. 

There aren't surprises; CMS is implemented PAMA cuts released in November 2017 for CY2019, and CMS is releasing gapfill pricing or new code crosswalk decisions that had been posted in recent weeks.*

Find the fee schedule here.

BRCA

New codes and pricing become effective January 1 related to BRCA testing, as shown in this table:


Gapfill

18 codes are under the gapfill process.


___

Tidbits.

New code for inherited disorders panel, pan-ethnic, 81443, is the same price as Ashkenazi disorders panel, 81412 ($2448).

The CLFS has 2,015 lines, although some lines are duplicates with and without a QW CLIA waiver suffix (which doesn't change pricing, but allows the code to be paid outside a CLIA lab).   If you ordered every test once, it would cost $232,665.57.

The least expensive test is 81005, urinalysis, $2.41.  The most expensive is family member exome sequence (81416, $12,000) which logically should not be more than proband exome analysis (81415, $4780).   31 tests are over $2000.

As the result of gapfill pricing in recent months (over 20 stakeholders commented to CMS on this topic), whole genome sequencing is $5031 (81425), $2709 (81426 for family member), and $2337 (81427) for re-analysis.

After one of the longest journeys I have followed, and several years of changing prices at CMS, and a gapfill year, Sep9 landed at $192 (81327).  This represents the FDA-approved Epi proColon test.

___

* I haven't manually checked if any proposed final gapfill prices from October 2018 have altered.



Saturday, December 15, 2018

Obamacare "Struck Down;" Read Ruling Here; Judge Nixes CMMI and Biosimilars, Too

Update.
    January 2, 2019, article in SLATE reviews interim events and opinions, here.  Link to 30 page ruling by Judge O'Connor "staying" the impact of his decision but affirming his confidence in his decision, here.  (In addition to staying the impact, he deals at length with other considerations like assertions the plaintiffs have no standing.)  He argues that a stay is appropriate, although, at the same time, he sees no hint of feasible grounds under which his decision could be reversed during appeal (78 footnotes).

Another Update.
   January 2019 article in Health Affairs, here.
______

Every news website today leads with news that "Obamacare has been struck down."   Rarely, an article provides a link to the actual 55 page ruling.
  • NPR article summarizes ruling here.
  • Actual 55 page judge's ruling here.
    • The judge opens by writing, "A court must determine whether the Constitution grants Congress the power it asserts."
    • The ruling as a whole has a number of instances of clever writing and wordplay.
    • The ruling, as a matter of jurisprudence, has been criticized by many quarters; here.
    • Axios points out that by striking the whole ruling, judge has struck down US Biosimilars Law, funding for the Indian Health Service, and the CMS Center for Innovation (on which Trump's fall HHS speech on drug pricing depends).
Washington Post notes that the ruling was not unexpected, as the judge was highly critical of Democratic state attorneys-general pro-Obamacare arguments in an earlier hearing (cited here).  Not helping would be the Administration's determination in June not to defend the ACA against this court action to terminate it.  Atlantic says that Chief Justice Roberts set up the chutes-n-ladders legal game that is now playing out and didn't need to, here.   Bloomberg asserts it's lose-lose for GOP, here.  Atlantic adds that "plaintiffs have no standing," here.  Slate collates legal pundits, mostly negative, here.

Fans are out there, too.  Author at The Federalist likes the O'Connor ruling a lot, here.  For a thorough and readable 39-page, 292-footnote, scholarly review of the case leading up to moment before Judge O'Connor's ruling, see Blackman, in press, here [click Download This Paper.]

The Jenga Game

Recall that several years ago, Supreme Court ruled that Obamacare was constitutional under Congress's taxation authority.  A mandatory tax element (for having no insurance) was resulting discontinued by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017.   The theory here is that with a razor thin majority in the Senate, the Congress couldn't repeal Obamacare, but they could repeal one sliver of it, which might lead the rest to topple via a subsequent judicial ruling.   (Example of Jenga game, here.) Judge sees himself as one domino in a row of dominos, writing "the 2010 Congress enacted the ACA, the 2017 Congress sawed off the last leg it stood on (p.54)."

Nothing is Severable:
ACA as Consumer Insurance vs ACA for Medicaid & for CMMI 

WaPo writes that the judge concluded that the insurance requirement was "essential to and inseparable from the remainder of the ACA."   But the same WaPo articles states that by contrast, in June, US DOJ asserted that "many other parts of the law could be considered legally distinct and thus can continue."
  • For example, Congress has passed many laws on Medicaid, and part of ACA expands Medicaid.  
  • The Patient Centered Outcomes Research Institute is a creation of ACA.   
    • And it's funded by a tax.
  • ACA created CMS Center for Innovation, which has been a showpiece of several 2018 Trump administration efforts, including the bold recent one to potentially benchmark US Medicare drug prices to European average prices.   
    • That very high-visibility Trump proposal stands on top of the CMMI authority, which is inside the ACA, which is axed by this ruling.  
  • US Biosimilars law was issued inside of ACA.   For more, see National Law Review here.  While legally inside the ACA, this portion even had its own name, Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act. 
Judge O'Connor does not parse the diverse sections of the ACA, but writes simply that "the Court adheres to Congress's textually expressed intent and binding Supreme Court precedent to find the Individual Mandate is inseparable from [all] the ACA's remaining provisions."  

The judge continues that: "the ACA includes many other integral regulations," but cites by name only those obviously related to conventional insurance, e.g. children remaining on parents' plans to age 26.  He simply describes the ACA's "hundreds of minor provisions [in] 900 plus pages of legislative text" as "complement[ing] the above mentioned major provisions."

After citing an 1879 case about the limits of judicial construction (e.g. to limit a part of a statute), and stating that "federal courts lack a roving license to flip through the US Code with a red pencil," judge concludes that ACA, Public Law 111-148, as a whole, is invalid.

See here:



___

Severability - More.

Judge acknowledges that defendants do make arguments that, "by eliminating the shared-responsibility payment [AND] leaving the rest of ACA intact, Court should infer that Congress intended to preserve the balance of the ACA." (see page 52-54). 

But he disagrees.

In addition to citing an 1879 case about the limits of judicial construction [court not competent to pick and choose among parts of ACA], see lengthy footnote 34 against arguments in favor of more severability within the ruling.  Argues to 1928 case, Frost.  Quotation that "Frost's bite is not available [here.]"  Adds:  Frost is not a license for courts to reach out and hold unchallenged constitutional acts unconstitutional as a remedial safety valve...Because of how Texas structured its challenge, the district court [e.g. the writing judge]  is presented with a narrower menu of options with respect to severability. No one—not the Plaintiffs, not the Intervenors—has challenged the constitutionality of the TCJA."

And:
"Federal courts lack a roving license to flip through the U.S. Code with a red pencil to void one statute in order to save another."

____

He Knew that She Knew that He Knew...

I wrote above that the Congressional tax action of 2017 foreseeably led to the 2018 court ruling.  The judge acknowledges that chain of events, as written above.  Judge notes that Congress did not strike down the Individual Mandate but rather the tax based on the individual mandate.  But the Individual Mandate, solo, had been ruled unconstitutional [not valid under Commerce Clause], at which point we only still had an ACA since it was saved by the existence of the tax, since Congress has tax authority.  But now, Congress has deleted the tax-text.

Judge doubles down on the message.  Congress knew it was unleashing a game of falling dominos:

"The 2010 Congress memorialized that it knew the Individual Mandate was the ACA keystone; Supreme Court stated repeatedly that it knew Congress knew, and knowing the Supreme Court knew what Congress had known....

Although I don't know if he knew it, Judge's citation to Blackman (vide infra) would include a SCPTUS quotation from Fausto (1987):  "Congress is presumed to act in full awareness of existing judicial interpretations."

_____

Inseparable?  Dependent on Tax Authority?  We Can Do That!

If you take for granted Judge O'Connor's position that the ACA, all 1000 pages of it, are inseparable, AND that it would depend on tax, not commerce, authority, there's lots of that.  It's got Medicaid in it, driven by taxes, so you've got legal Medicaid, legal taxes, and you've already said the other 999 pages are inseparable.  There's a tax on the medical device industry - that's one page of 1000, but we've stipulated inseparability.  There's also a tax on health insurance, which funds PCORI, the patient centered research agency.

Most Satirical Outcome

Supreme Court agrees with its prior position and O'Connor's ruling, that the now-deleted individual tax clause was pivotal to the commercial health insurance parts of ACA.  But SCOTUS determines that other parts are severable, and remands back to Judge O'Connor to figure out which pages of the 1000 pages are separable, and which not.

____

Individual Tax and Hall of Mirrors

Ever since NFIB v Sebelius, there's been a hall-of-mirrors game.  That ruling - from a sharply divided Supreme Court - ruled that Congress doesn't have authority (under the commerce clause) to force people to buy insurance (since per that decision, it can't regulate non-purchasing as "commerce"), but it does have authority (like it or not) to put a tax on people who don't buy insurance, since its tax authority is nearly unlimited.   What if you put a tax of $1 on everybody, then refund the $1 to everyone who buys insurance?   Another angle is that without the individual mandate, the law may not make a lot of sense (due to insurance death spirals, etc) but conservatives would argue it's not the job of the courts to decide whether a law passed by legislators "makes sense" or not.

____

Law Article Cited In Press

In the final footnote, Judge cites Blackman, "Undone: The New Constitutional Challenge to Obamacare."  It's in press in Texas Law Review, while the PDF can be downloaded open access here (39pp).  This is essentially a law-professor-level review (with 298 footnotes) of where ACA stood coming into 2018 and at the moment before Judge's decision.  Blackman cites Fausto, 1987, that "Congress is presumed to act in full awareness of existing judicial interpretations." (his fn 272).  Blackman, like O'Connor, favors an inseverable approach to striking down ACA, but like O'Connor, gives no moment of attention to its diverse non-insurance sections such as PCORI and CMMI and Biosimilars.

In an interesting wordplay, Blackman writes (p.37) that "the individual mandate and the tax cut can exist independently, but cannot exist simultaneously.  If the tax cut is invalidated, the individual mandate remains constitutional.  Conversely, if the individual mandate is invalidated, the tax cut remains constitutional.  Call it Schrödinger's Mandate."   
____

Tweetwatch.

President Trump tweeted, "As I predicted all along, Obamacare has been struck down as an unconstitutional disaster." [block capitals omitted]   Obamacare, even with this ruling, was not "unconstitutional" til the 2017 tax reform.  It was effective law through a Supreme Court case in 2012.  It remained effective law through a second Supreme Court case in 2015.  Even this week's ruling only states that the law became unconstitutional after the 2017 tax act.  Not that it had been unconstitutional all along since 2010.